Liga MX | Gameweek 17
Apr 30, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Nemesio Díez
Toluca3 - 0Necaxa
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Necaxa.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toluca 1-1 Juarez
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Liga MX
Sunday, April 23 at 7pm in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 1-3 Atlas
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Saturday, April 22 at 2.05am in Liga MX
Goals
for
for
19
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 59.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 18.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.68%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
Result | ||
Toluca | Draw | Necaxa |
59.9% ( -0.52) | 21.24% ( 0.09) | 18.86% ( 0.43) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.31% ( 0.28) | 41.69% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.91% ( 0.28) | 64.09% ( -0.28) |
Toluca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.47% ( -0.06) | 13.53% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.4% ( -0.13) | 40.6% ( 0.13) |
Necaxa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.23% ( 0.63) | 35.76% ( -0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.46% ( 0.65) | 72.54% ( -0.64) |
Score Analysis |
Toluca 59.9%
Necaxa 18.86%
Draw 21.24%
Toluca | Draw | Necaxa |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 9.68% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 59.9% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.24% | 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.7% Total : 18.86% |
Head to Head
Jul 2, 2022 11pm
gameweek 1
Necaxa
1-3
Toluca
Mar 5, 2022 1am
Oct 21, 2021 1am
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 02:30:41
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Club AmericaAmerica | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 37 | 14 | 23 | 40 |
2 | MonterreyMonterrey | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 33 |
3 | Tigres | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
4 | PumasPumas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
5 | CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 27 |
6 | Atletico San Luis | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Club TijuanaTijuana | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
8 | Club Leon | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
9 | Santos LagunaSantos Laguna | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 23 |
10 | MazatlanMazatlan | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
11 | PueblaPuebla | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 22 |
12 | PachucaPachuca | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 22 |
13 | TolucaToluca | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
14 | QueretaroQueretaro | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 19 |
15 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 18 |
16 | Cruz AzulCruz Azul | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 17 |
17 | Atlas | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 17 |
18 | NecaxaNecaxa | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
> Liga MX Full Table |
1
All-time PL combined XI: Man Utd vs. Arsenal
2
Chelsea 'set date to decide Pochettino future'
3
Excelsior vs. Heracles - prediction, team news, lineups
4
Tottenham 'offered hope of cut-price Toney deal'
5
Nott'm Forest vs. Chelsea injury, suspension list, predicted XIs
6
Man United, Arsenal stars left out of Brazil's Copa America squad
7
Arsenal defender admits he will likely leave club this summer
8
Arsenal suffer blow in pursuit of Newcastle United duo
9
Jota, Clark, Thiago - Liverpool injury news and return dates before Aston Villa clash
10
Man Utd vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups
Sport News 24/7