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Premier League | Gameweek 33
Apr 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Elland Road
Leicester logo

Leeds
1 - 1
Leicester

Sinisterra (20')
Ayling (41'), Rodrigo (45+2'), Roca (53'), Cooper (60')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vardy (80')
Soumare (52'), Tielemans (67')

The Match

Match Report

Jamie Vardy's late strike rescues a point for Leicester City in a 1-1 draw with Premier League relegation rivals Leeds United at Elland Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Leicester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Leeds
Saturday, April 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leicester 2-1 Wolves
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.56%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
34.8% (0.11 0.11) 23.07% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 42.13% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 64.62% (-0.105 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.4% (-0.151 -0.15)36.6% (0.151 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.24% (-0.16399999999999 -0.16)58.76% (0.165 0.16)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)21.29% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.22% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.1% (-0.12100000000001 -0.12)17.9% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.31% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)48.69% (0.21 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 34.8%
    Leicester City 42.13%
    Draw 23.06%
Leeds UnitedDrawLeicester City
2-1 @ 7.84% (0.021 0.02)
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 0.91% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.8%
1-1 @ 10.14% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.75% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.81% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 2% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 23.06%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.56% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.64% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.87% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 3.23% (-0.015 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.66% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 42.13%

How you voted: Leeds vs Leicester

Leeds United
29.8%
Draw
17.9%
Leicester City
52.4%
168
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2022 8.15pm
gameweek 12
Leicester
2-0
Leeds
Koch (16' og.), Barnes (35')

Koch (43')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 28
Leicester
1-0
Leeds
Barnes (67')
Ndidi (53')

Struijk (9'), Forshaw (71')
Nov 7, 2021 2pm
gameweek 11
Leeds
1-1
Leicester
Raphinha (26')
Raphinha (27')
Barnes (28')
Ndidi (74')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
gameweek 21
Leicester
1-3
Leeds
Barnes (13')
Dallas (15'), Bamford (70'), Harrison (84')
Ayling (38'), Dallas (62'), Klich (74')
Nov 2, 2020 8pm
gameweek 7
Leeds
1-4
Leicester
Dallas (48')
Dallas (50')
Barnes (2'), Tielemans (21', 90+1'), Vardy (76')
Thomas (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


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