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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Leeds logo

Wolves
2 - 4
Leeds

Castro (65'), Cunha (73')
Dawson (37'), Semedo (53'), Gomes (87')
Castro (84'), Nunes (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harrison (6'), Ayling (49'), Kristensen (62'), Rodrigo (90+7')
Ayling (24'), McKennie (45+3'), Firpo (45+2'), Roca (75'), Meslier (90+12')

The Match

Match Report

Leeds United move into 14th position in the Premier League table with a 4-2 victory at Wolverhampton Wanderers on Saturday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, March 12 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 2-2 Brighton
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
40.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04) 25.7% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 33.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.75% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.71% (-0.113 -0.11)49.29% (0.12 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.65% (-0.101 -0.1)71.34% (0.107 0.11)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.83% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.99% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)58.01% (0.052 0.05)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.88% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)28.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.21% (-0.117 -0.12)63.79% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 40.96%
    Leeds United 33.34%
    Draw 25.7%
Wolverhampton WanderersDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.61% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.89% (0.02 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 12.19% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.7%
0-1 @ 8.5% (0.019 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.04% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 33.34%

How you voted: Wolves vs Leeds

Wolverhampton Wanderers
71.2%
Draw
18.0%
Leeds United
10.8%
139
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Traore (85')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Leeds
2-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (24'), Ait-Nouri (74' og.)
Harrison (20'), Adams (90+3')
Podence (6')
Mar 18, 2022 8pm
Wolves
2-3
Leeds
Castro (26'), Trincao (45+11')
Boly (6'), Jimenez (43')
Jimenez (53')
Harrison (63'), Rodrigo (66'), Ayling (90+1')
Struijk (45+10'), Rodrigo (68'), Cresswell (74'), Kenneh (90+3'), Forshaw (90+4')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Leeds
1-1
Wolves
Rodrigo (90+4' pen.)
Shackleton (65'), Rodrigo (90+4')
Hee-chan (10')
Moutinho (5'), Kilman (50'), Saiss (53')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Wolves
1-0
Leeds
Meslier (64' og.)
Neto (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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