Scottish Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 9, 2024 at 12.15pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Aberdeen3 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Mirren 2-1 Aberdeen
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee 2-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Aberdeen 0-2 Kilmarnock
Aberdeen and Kilmarnock's contrasting form leading into this game makes it hard to see any outcome other than Kilmarnock extending Aberdeen's poor form with a victory in this one. Warnock's side have struggled for goals in their past few games, and we expect Kilmarnock to keep a clean sheet in this one as they progress through to the semi-final of the Scottish Cup. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 26.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
49.56% ( 0.01) | 24.3% ( -0.01) | 26.14% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 55.12% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.12% ( 0.03) | 46.88% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( 0.02) | 69.14% ( -0.02) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.04% ( 0.02) | 18.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.5% ( 0.02) | 50.5% ( -0.02) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.02% ( 0.02) | 31.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.57% ( 0.02) | 68.44% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen 49.56%
Kilmarnock 26.14%
Draw 24.3%
Aberdeen | Draw | Kilmarnock |
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.38% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.19% Total : 49.56% | 1-1 @ 11.49% 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.3% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 2.67% Total : 26.14% |
How you voted: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock
Aberdeen
38.9%Draw
11.1%Kilmarnock
50.0%18
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Dec 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Aberdeen
0-1
Kilmarnock
Oct 29, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 10
Kilmarnock
2-0
Aberdeen
Apr 8, 2023 3pm
Dec 28, 2022 7.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 22:05:18
Result
Bublik
Shelton
Shelton
3 77 6
6 62 4
6 62 4
Result
Lehecka
Monteiro
Monteiro
6 79
4 67
4 67
Result
Medvedev
Korda
Korda
5 77 6
7 64 3
7 64 3
Result
Nadal
Cachin
Cachin
6 65 6
1 77 3
1 77 3
Result
Mensik
Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime
1 0
6 1
6 1
(ret.)
Result
Norrie
Ruud
Ruud
2 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Sinner
Kotov
Kotov
6 7
2 5
2 5
Result
Cobolli
Khachanov
Khachanov
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Ostapenko
Jabeur
Jabeur
0 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Haddad Maia
Sakkari
Sakkari
6 6
4 4
4 4
Result
Swiatek
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
6 6
1 0
1 0
Result
Andreeva
Paolini
Paolini
77 6
62 4
62 4
Result
Gauff
Keys
Keys
64 6 4
77 4 6
77 4 6
Result
Putintseva
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
3 6 6
6 2 2
6 2 2
Result
Bejlek
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 3
6 6
6 6
9.10pm
Collins
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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