Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (11.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
33.34% ( 1.79) | 28.64% ( -0.53) | 38.01% ( -1.26) |
Both teams to score 45.72% ( 1.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.29% ( 2.05) | 60.71% ( -2.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.22% ( 1.52) | 80.77% ( -1.52) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.12% ( 2.38) | 33.88% ( -2.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.45% ( 2.5) | 70.55% ( -2.5) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.15% ( 0.27) | 30.85% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.87% ( 0.32) | 67.13% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.42) 2-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.34% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.83) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.28) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.63% | 0-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.88) 1-2 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 38.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
> League Two Full Table |