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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 48.6%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Rochdale win it was 1-0 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
24.24% ( -2.02) | 27.16% ( -0.37) | 48.6% ( 2.39) |
Both teams to score 44.97% ( -0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.71% ( -0) | 59.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.3% ( -0) | 79.7% ( 0.01) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.58% ( -1.82) | 40.42% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.97% ( -1.69) | 77.03% ( 1.69) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.48% ( 1.16) | 24.52% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.02% ( 1.59) | 58.98% ( -1.59) |
Score Analysis |
Rochdale | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.46) 2-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.31% Total : 24.24% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 9.91% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.16% | 0-1 @ 13.93% ( 0.46) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 4.59% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 4.16% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.2) 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.31% Total : 48.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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