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League One
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
LNER Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Virtue (72')
O'Connor (26'), Erhahon (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Flanagan (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

 Lincoln will be looking to end their campaign on a high note, and they will be confident of doing that against a Shrewsbury side who also have nothing tangible to play for. The visitors ended a poor run of form last time out, but we cannot imagine Cotterill's side earning a final-day victory in this one - albeit a point could be likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
49.24% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 26.16% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 24.61% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.05% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.52% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)55.48% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)76.67% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)22.58% (0.035999999999998 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.82% (-0.052 -0.05)56.18% (0.053000000000004 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.06% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)37.94% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.29% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)74.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 49.23%
    Shrewsbury Town 24.61%
    Draw 26.15%
Lincoln CityDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 49.23%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.57% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.93% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 24.61%

Head to Head
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 20
Shrewsbury
2-0
Lincoln
Leahy (45' pen.), Bayliss (60')
Dunkley (10')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 40
Shrewsbury
1-0
Lincoln
Udoh (84')
Leahy (22'), Bennett (51'), Vela (62')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 16
Lincoln
1-1
Shrewsbury
McGrandles (43')
Fiorini (13'), Poole (89')
Leahy (50')
Udoh (30'), Whalley (80')
Aug 10, 2021 7.45pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
2-2
Lincoln
 Shrewsbury win 4-2 on penalties
Udoh (69', 79')
Hopper (49'), Bishop (52')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
gameweek 24
Shrewsbury
0-1
Lincoln

Norburn (3'), Whalley (23'), Davis (45+3'), Vela (82'), Ebanks-Landell (89')
Grant (11')
Rogers (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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