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Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 28
Apr 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
LNER Stadium
Burton Albion

Lincoln
0 - 1
Burton Albion

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wycombe 0-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-0 Burton Albion

Having conceded nine goals without reply across their previous two league games, Burton look set to suffer another disappointing defeat this weekend.    Given that Lincoln are among the division's lowest scorers, we are not likely to see a flurry of goals at LNER Stadium, but the hosts should cruise to a comfortable clean-sheet victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.05%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
43.05% (0.941 0.94) 26.77% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 30.18% (-0.92 -0.92)
Both teams to score 50.17% (-0.345 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.36% (-0.252 -0.25)54.64% (0.256 0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.02% (-0.21 -0.21)75.98% (0.212 0.21)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.84% (0.369 0.37)25.16% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.13% (0.505 0.5)59.87% (-0.502 -0.5)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (-0.794 -0.79)32.97% (0.796 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (-0.891 -0.89)69.55% (0.893 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 43.05%
    Burton Albion 30.18%
    Draw 26.77%
Lincoln CityDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 11.44% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.081 0.08)
2-0 @ 7.9% (0.241 0.24)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.08 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.63% (0.148 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 43.05%
1-1 @ 12.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.29% (0.081999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-2 @ 7.05% (-0.164 -0.16)
0-2 @ 5.11% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.89% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.18%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Burton Albion

Lincoln City
75.8%
Draw
6.1%
Burton Albion
18.2%
33
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
gameweek 23
Burton Albion
3-0
Lincoln
Hughes (5'), Smith (14'), Adeboyejo (27' pen.)

Diamond (75')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
gameweek 30
Lincoln
1-2
Burton Albion
Marquis (49')
Powell (56'), Hughes (80')
Oshilaja (19'), Kokolo (51')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
gameweek 9
Burton Albion
1-2
Lincoln
Shaughnessy (86')
Bostwick (78')
Fiorini (10'), Scully (50')
Eyoma (65'), Montsma (90+5')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
gameweek 43
Burton Albion
0-1
Lincoln

Fondop (88'), Taylor (90+3')
Eyoma (27')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
gameweek 20
Lincoln
5-1
Burton Albion
Howarth (4'), Johnson (7', 63'), Scully (56'), Anderson (81')
Walsh (60'), Johnson (80')
Hemmings (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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