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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 75.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 8.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.83%) and 3-0 (10.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ipswich Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Ipswich Town.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
75.87% ( -0.61) | 15.88% ( 0.23) | 8.25% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 42.57% ( 1.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.47% ( 0.31) | 42.53% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.07% ( 0.31) | 64.93% ( -0.31) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.51% ( -0.07) | 9.49% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.16% ( -0.17) | 31.84% ( 0.17) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.04% ( 1.15) | 52.96% ( -1.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.37% ( 0.72) | 86.63% ( -0.71) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
2-0 @ 13.93% ( -0.29) 1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.15% Total : 75.86% | 1-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.52% Total : 15.88% | 0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 2.39% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |