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League One
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 33
Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Presley (12')
Longelo-Mbule (67'), Sangare (77'), Fernandes (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Winchester (16'), Saydee (50'), Phillips (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 0-2 Wycombe
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

 This fixture is set to be a war of attrition due to the aggressive nature of both sides, but we believe that Shrewsbury will slightly edge this match, as they pose a major threat from set pieces. We think that Accrington will still cause Shrewsbury some defensive issues, but will be unable to continue their six-match unbeaten streak against the away side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.48% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
31.48% (0.295 0.3) 28.02% (0.184 0.18) 40.51% (-0.475 -0.48)
Both teams to score 47.04% (-0.418 -0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.14% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)58.87% (0.58 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-0.447 -0.45)79.37% (0.452 0.45)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.77% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)34.23% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.07% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)70.93% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.52% (-0.54000000000001 -0.54)28.48% (0.544 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.75% (-0.685 -0.69)64.25% (0.69 0.69)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 31.48%
    Shrewsbury Town 40.5%
    Draw 28.01%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.2 0.2)
2-1 @ 7.04% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 31.48%
1-1 @ 13.12% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.42% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-2 @ 8.24% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 7.69% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 3.22% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.08% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 40.5%

How you voted: Accrington vs Shrewsbury

Accrington Stanley
41.7%
Draw
0.0%
Shrewsbury Town
58.3%
12
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Shrewsbury
0-1
Accrington

Flanagan (57')
Flanagan (57')
Leigh (77')
Coyle (45+6'), Whalley (68')
Dec 29, 2021 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
0-0
Accrington

Pennington (59'), Bowman (84')

Clark (73'), Sykes (84')
Sep 4, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Shrewsbury
Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Shrewsbury
Conneely (47')
Conneely (43'), Barclay (45+1'), Morgan (80')
Whalley (77')
Main (56')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
2-2
Accrington
Pierre (26'), Whalley (86')
Norburn (33'), Williams (38'), Walker (41'), Vela (57')
Pritchard (24'), Cassidy (90+4' pen.)
Hughes (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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