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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Bristol Rovers

Accrington
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Leigh (51'), Astley (79')
Coyle (38'), Rodgers (55'), Martin (86'), Hamilton (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sinclair (25'), Finley (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Bristol Rovers

On the back of only one league victory in their last 11 matches, we can predict playoff candidates Bristol Rovers moving closer to the top six with a hard-fought win over Accrington Stanley at The Crowd Ground on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
35.73% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 25.41% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 38.86% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.39% (-0.113 -0.11)47.6% (0.109 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.19% (-0.105 -0.11)69.81% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)25.88% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)60.86% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)24.15% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.52% (-0.131 -0.13)58.47% (0.127 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 35.73%
    Bristol Rovers 38.86%
    Draw 25.4%
Accrington StanleyDrawBristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.45% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.71% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 35.73%
1-1 @ 12% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.53% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.86%

How you voted: Accrington vs Bristol Rovers

Accrington Stanley
27.3%
Draw
18.2%
Bristol Rovers
54.5%
11
Head to Head
Mar 9, 2021 7pm
Feb 2, 2021 7pm
Accrington
6-1
Bristol Rovers
Pritchard (8'), Charles (12', 17', 70'), Bishop (28', 48')
Pritchard (7'), McConville (44')
Nicholson (11')
Williams (61')
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Bristol Rovers
3-3
Accrington
Rodman (4'), Clarke-Harris (41', 63')
Clarke (52'), Clarke-Harris (73')
Clark (18'), Finley (20'), Charles (77' pen.)
Conneely (10')
Conneely (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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