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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
28.86% ( 2.15) | 25.59% ( -0.13) | 45.56% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% ( 1.81) | 50.53% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% ( 1.58) | 72.45% ( -1.57) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 2.62) | 31.81% ( -2.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( 2.9) | 68.24% ( -2.89) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( -0.15) | 22.15% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( -0.23) | 55.54% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |