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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Burton Albion
0 - 1
Fleetwood


Oshilaja (19')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Macadam (34')
Warrington (21'), Vela (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

With Burton Albion recently finding a hunger for goals, they will more than likely find the scoresheet in this game. Tight games have been the order of the day for Fleetwood and there is not enough evidence to suggest that will change, which is why a draw is a likely result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
35.19% (3.211 3.21) 25.93% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1) 38.88% (-3.109 -3.11)
Both teams to score 54.35% (1.137 1.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (1.101 1.1)49.98% (-1.097 -1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (0.974 0.97)71.96% (-0.968 -0.97)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.68% (2.575 2.58)27.32% (-2.57 -2.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24% (3.222 3.22)62.77% (-3.216 -3.22)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.78% (-1.119 -1.12)25.22% (1.124 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (-1.569 -1.57)59.97% (1.574 1.57)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 35.19%
    Fleetwood Town 38.88%
    Draw 25.93%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 8.94% (0.243 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.99% (0.516 0.52)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.549 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.46% (0.447 0.45)
3-0 @ 2.51% (0.395 0.4)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.239 0.24)
4-1 @ 1.12% (0.212 0.21)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.313 -0.31)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.09% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 9.49% (-0.749 -0.75)
1-2 @ 8.48% (-0.325 -0.33)
0-2 @ 6.54% (-0.756 -0.76)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.283 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3% (-0.458 -0.46)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.197 -0.2)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 38.88%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Fleetwood

Burton Albion
46.7%
Draw
26.7%
Fleetwood Town
26.7%
15
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-1
Burton Albion
Camps (18'), Madden (79')
Burns (19'), Whelan (84')
Brayford (66')
Bostwick (70')
O'Toole (90+6')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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