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Barnsley
League One | Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Derby logo

Barnsley
4 - 1
Derby

Cole (21', 45+2'), Phillips (33'), Thomas (90+4')
Thomas (67'), Kitching (71'), Kane (75')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Coverage of the League One clash between Barnsley and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-0 Charlton
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
36.76% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 27.59% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.65% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.05% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)56.7% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.34% (-0.004999999999999 -0)77.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.38% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)29.62% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.34% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.66% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.69% (0.012999999999991 0.01)30.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (0.016000000000005 0.02)66.49% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 36.75%
    Derby County 35.64%
    Draw 27.59%
BarnsleyDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.92%
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 36.75%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.98% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 10.71%
1-2 @ 7.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 2.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 35.64%

How you voted: Barnsley vs Derby

Barnsley
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Derby County
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 12.30pm
Third Round
Derby
3-0
Barnsley
Collins (45+1' pen.), Barkhuizen (60'), Knight (79')
Bird (49'), Sibley (69')

Connell (27'), Kitching (68')
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Derby
2-0
Barnsley
Morrison (22', 47')

Wolfe (7'), Morris (90+4')
Nov 3, 2021 7.45pm
Barnsley
2-1
Derby
Adeboyejo (39'), Leya Iseka (50')
Woodrow (26'), Brittain (64'), Andersen (81')
Baldock (24')
Morrison (15'), Buchanan (50')
Mar 10, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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