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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 21
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Wham Stadium
Portsmouth

Accrington
1 - 3
Portsmouth

Adedoyin (88')
Rodgers (49'), Fernandes (62'), Leigh (73')
Jensen (10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pigott (13'), Hackett-Fairchild (57'), Bishop (81')
Mousinho (11'), Morrell (46'), Scarlett (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Portsmouth

Portsmouth boast more quality in their squad than the hosts, but Cowley's men are struggling for form in the third tier while Accrington are improving, and we only see the visitors leaving with another draw at the weekend amid their struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 23.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
23.92% (0.553 0.55) 25.17% (0.297 0.3) 50.91% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.281 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.73% (-0.67 -0.67)52.27% (0.675 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.03% (-0.579 -0.58)73.96% (0.584 0.58)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.22% (0.135 0.13)36.78% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.43% (0.135 0.13)73.57% (-0.131 -0.13)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46% (-0.611 -0.61)20.53% (0.615 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.96% (-0.979 -0.98)53.04% (0.985 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 23.92%
    Portsmouth 50.91%
    Draw 25.16%
Accrington StanleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 7.55% (0.226 0.23)
2-1 @ 5.98% (0.088 0.09)
2-0 @ 3.78% (0.126 0.13)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.26% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 23.92%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 25.16%
0-1 @ 11.95% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.072000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 9.46% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-3 @ 4.99% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-3 @ 2.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.98% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.99% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 50.91%

How you voted: Accrington vs Portsmouth

Accrington Stanley
40.7%
Draw
18.5%
Portsmouth
40.7%
27
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Portsmouth
4-0
Accrington
Hirst (16', 56'), Raggett (28'), Tunnicliffe (69')
Robertson (2'), Romeo (38')
Harness (21')

Pell (47'), Nottingham (86')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Portsmouth
Pell (50'), Butcher (77')
Sykes (45+2'), Hamilton (64')
Curtis (18'), Harness (86')
Raggett (28'), Curtis (64')
May 9, 2021 12pm
Portsmouth
0-1
Accrington

Harness (18'), Downing (28'), Byers (64'), White (66')
Phillips (23')
Rodgers (62')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Accrington
3-3
Portsmouth
Bishop (15'), Burgess (43'), Marquis (90+5' og.)
Barclay (90+3'), Conneely (90+4')
Marquis (49', 90+1'), Williams (54')
Curtis (84'), Cannon (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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