Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 35.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.92% ( 6.93) | 26.57% ( 0.17) | 35.51% ( -7.1) |
Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.61) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.34% ( 0.26) | 52.66% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.7% ( 0.22) | 74.3% ( -0.22) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73% ( 4.5) | 27% ( -4.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.65% ( 5.54) | 62.35% ( -5.54) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.58% ( -3.81) | 28.42% ( 3.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% ( -5.06) | 64.17% ( 5.06) |
Score Analysis |
Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 1.09) 2-1 @ 8.28% ( 1.02) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( 1.41) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.82) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.88) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.31) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.37) Other @ 2.15% Total : 37.92% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.56% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -1.21) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.85) 0-2 @ 6.07% ( -1.55) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.78) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -1.01) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |