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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 25, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad logo

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Sociedad

Zubeldia (40' og.)
Foulquier (11'), Musah (45'), Castillejo (55'), Lato (67'), Mamardashvili (69'), Paulista (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zubimendi (4'), Rico (35'), Fernandez (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 1-0 Valencia
Monday, February 20 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Valencia 2-2 Real Sociedad

Real Sociedad have won eight of their 11 away league matches this season, drawing just once, but we just have a feeling that Valencia could secure a share of the spoils here. Los Che's losing run is going to end at some stage, and an entertaining contest at Mestalla could finish in a high-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Valencia win was 1-0 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
31.13% (0.055 0.05) 26.81% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 42.06% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 50.45% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.52% (0.097000000000001 0.1)54.48% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.16% (0.079999999999998 0.08)75.84% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.8% (0.087999999999994 0.09)32.2% (-0.096000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.31% (0.101 0.1)68.68% (-0.11 -0.11)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.4% (0.022999999999996 0.02)25.59% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.53% (0.030999999999999 0.03)60.47% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 31.13%
    Real Sociedad 42.06%
    Draw 26.8%
ValenciaDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 9.34% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.21% (0.014 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 2% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.13%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.24% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.67% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.65% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.23% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 42.06%

How you voted: Valencia vs Real Sociedad

Valencia
15.0%
Draw
15.0%
Real Sociedad
70.1%
127
Head to Head
Nov 6, 2022 3.15pm
Feb 6, 2022 1pm
Nov 21, 2021 8pm
Real Sociedad
0-0
Valencia

Guevara (50'), Rico (87'), Turrientes (90+2'), Gorosabel (90+6')
Elustondo (76')

Gaya (56'), Foulquier (70'), Wass (76'), Musah (84'), Koindredi (87'), Costa (90'), Alderete (90+4')
Apr 11, 2021 3.15pm
Valencia
2-2
Real Sociedad
Wass (60' pen.), Paulista (73')
Cheryshev (42'), Paulista (47'), Musah (68'), Wass (77'), Gomez (78')
Gomez (80')
Guevara (33'), Isak (45')
Uranga Luluaga (7'), Portu (45'), Fernandez (58'), Monreal (66')
Sep 29, 2020 6pm
Real Sociedad
0-1
Valencia

Zubimendi (35')
Gomez (75')
Kondogbia (17'), Gomez (45+2'), Wass (60'), Gaya (61'), Correia (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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