Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 41.41%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
31.37% ( -0.02) | 27.21% ( 0.04) | 41.41% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.32% ( -0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.04% ( -0.16) | 55.95% ( 0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.94% ( -0.13) | 77.05% ( 0.13) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.21% ( -0.1) | 32.79% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( -0.11) | 69.35% ( 0.11) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.39% ( -0.08) | 26.61% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.16% ( -0.11) | 61.84% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.37% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |