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La Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Elche

Valladolid
2 - 1
Elche

Sanchez (40'), Mesa (46')
Sanchez (45'), Fernandez (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Josan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osasuna 2-0 Valladolid
Sunday, October 30 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-1 Getafe
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Real Valladolid 2-1 Elche

Things are becoming increasingly desperate for Elche, who have two games against recently-promoted sides to come before the World Cup break. Pacheta's side are riding a wave of home form at the moment though, and while we can see the struggling visitors scoring at the Jose Zorrilla on Saturday, we think that they will struggle to hold on for a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 65.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Elche had a probability of 13.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Valladolid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Valladolid.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawElche
65.56% (0.061000000000007 0.06) 20.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 13.71% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 45.86% (0.104 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.22% (0.164 0.16)48.77% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.12% (0.148 0.15)70.88% (-0.149 -0.15)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.92% (0.070000000000007 0.07)14.07% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.33% (0.139 0.14)41.67% (-0.141 -0.14)
Elche Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.38% (0.076000000000001 0.08)46.62% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.8% (0.058 0.06)82.2% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 65.55%
    Elche 13.71%
    Draw 20.72%
Real ValladolidDrawElche
1-0 @ 12.86% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 8.25% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.29% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.04% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.59% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 65.55%
1-1 @ 9.82% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.56% (-0.045000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.67% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 20.72%
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 13.71%

How you voted: Valladolid vs Elche

Real Valladolid
83.6%
Draw
13.7%
Elche
2.7%
73
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2021 8pm
Elche
1-1
Valladolid
Fidel (22')
Milla (26'), Marcone (37'), Calvo (72'), Gonzalo (84'), Rigoni (90+2')
Olaza (86')
Kodro (12'), Fernandez (52'), Janko (67')
Jan 19, 2021 6pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Michel (71'), Fernandez (89')
Fede (39')
Mesa (90+1')
Josan (9', 43')
Josema (51'), Cifu (85'), Milla (90+4')
Dec 18, 2014 7pm
Elche
1-0
Valladolid
Gonzalez (7')
Herrera (36'), Pelegrín (59'), Roco (76'), Suarez (87'), Tyton (90')

Sastre (36'), Timor (82'), Ramos (90'), Carmona (90')
Timor (90')
Dec 2, 2014 9pm
Feb 9, 2014 4pm
Valladolid
2-2
Elche
Osorio (71', 78')
Rossi (68'), Rueda (89')
Corominas (34'), Del Moral (66')
Moreno Marquez (37'), Botia (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


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