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La Liga | Gameweek 12
Oct 30, 2022 at 1pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Real Valladolid logo

Osasuna
2 - 0
Valladolid

Avila (13' pen.), Gomez (19')
Torro (47')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Rosa (29'), Mesa (33'), Olaza (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Real Sociedad
Saturday, October 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Osasuna 1-1 Real Valladolid

Real Valladolid have only lost one of their last five league matches, while four of the last five La Liga fixtures between these two sides have finished level. Osasuna will be the favourites at home, but we are expecting the points to be shared on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
44.94% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 26.91% (-0.029 -0.03) 28.15% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 48.64% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)56.07% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.066000000000003 0.07)77.15% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.078000000000003 0.08)24.85% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.106 0.11)59.45% (-0.104 -0.1)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (0.0020000000000024 0)72.03% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 44.94%
    Real Valladolid 28.15%
    Draw 26.9%
OsasunaDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 12.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.5% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 44.94%
1-1 @ 12.71% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 9.13% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.76% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 28.15%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Valladolid

Osasuna
53.7%
Draw
25.4%
Real Valladolid
20.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 11, 2020 8pm
Valladolid
3-2
Osasuna
Weissman (7', 76'), Orellana (56' pen.)
Mesa (24'), Alcaraz (45'), Weissman (84'), Perez (90+5')
Budimir (27'), Torres (43')
Hernandez (12'), Moncayola (66'), Vidal (71'), Budimir (80'), Calleri (82')
Jan 18, 2020 5.30pm
Sep 15, 2019 5.30pm
Jun 2, 2018 7.30pm
Valladolid
2-0
Osasuna
Hervias (31'), Mata (63' pen.)
Michel (36'), Borja (63'), Mata (90')

Merida (30'), Xisco (42'), Lillo (59'), Herrera (62'), Sanjurjo (63'), Flano (88')
Lillo (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad341412848351354
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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