Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 46.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
46.78% ( -0.62) | 27.42% ( -0.05) | 25.79% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 45.59% ( 0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.81% ( 0.56) | 59.18% ( -0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.39% ( 0.43) | 79.61% ( -0.44) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( -0.05) | 25.34% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.87% ( -0.06) | 60.13% ( 0.06) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.06% ( 0.91) | 38.94% ( -0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.33% ( 0.85) | 75.66% ( -0.85) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 13.54% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 46.77% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.5% Total : 25.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 34 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 74 | 22 | 52 | 87 |
2 | GironaGirona | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 73 | 42 | 31 | 74 |
3 | Barcelona | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 73 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 34 | 21 | 4 | 9 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 67 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 61 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 48 | 35 | 13 | 54 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 52 |
8 | Valencia | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 56 | 58 | -2 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 41 |
12 | Sevilla | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 37 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 34 |
17 | Mallorca | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 32 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 34 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 34 | 2 | 11 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |