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La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 4, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
Athletic Bilbao logo

Sevilla
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao


Sow (36'), Rakitic (75'), Marcao (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Vesga (30'), Paredes (76')
Garcia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 1-0 Sevilla
Saturday, December 23 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Las Palmas
Wednesday, December 20 at 8.30pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao

 While Athletic may be unbeaten in 10 competitive matches, they have had to settle for draws in their last two away games in La Liga, and we think that they will have to be content with a point when they face a Sevilla side that has drawn four of their previous five home league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
33.69% (2.059 2.06) 26.35% (0.78 0.78) 39.95% (-2.837 -2.84)
Both teams to score 52.7% (-1.879 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.03% (-2.721 -2.72)51.97% (2.722 2.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29% (-2.402 -2.4)73.71% (2.404 2.4)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.84% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)65.15% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-2.649 -2.65)25.56% (2.651 2.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-3.757 -3.76)60.42% (3.758 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 33.69%
    Athletic Bilbao 39.95%
    Draw 26.35%
SevillaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.953 0.95)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.244 0.24)
2-0 @ 5.65% (0.585 0.59)
3-1 @ 3.16% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.32% (0.24 0.24)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 33.69%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.4 0.4)
0-0 @ 7.46% (0.776 0.78)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.243 -0.24)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.127 -0.13)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 10.18% (0.323 0.32)
1-2 @ 8.55% (-0.392 -0.39)
0-2 @ 6.95% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-3 @ 3.89% (-0.505 -0.51)
0-3 @ 3.16% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-3 @ 2.39% (-0.311 -0.31)
1-4 @ 1.33% (-0.293 -0.29)
0-4 @ 1.08% (-0.237 -0.24)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.95%

How you voted: Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao

Sevilla
23.5%
Draw
22.7%
Athletic Bilbao
53.8%
132
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> Preview
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
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May 22, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 38
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Garcia (38'), Berchiche (57'), Vivian (64')
> Preview
Dec 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 17
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Delaney (38')
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> Preview
May 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 34
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid34276174225287
2GironaGirona34235673423174
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao341710755332261
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Valencia34138133739-247
9Villarreal34129135658-245
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves34118153238-641
12Sevilla341011134546-141
13Osasuna34116173751-1439
14Las PalmasLas Palmas34107173043-1337
15Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
16Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
17Mallorca34614142740-1332
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
19Granada3449213664-2821
RAlmeria34211213367-3417
> La Liga Full Table


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