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La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 15, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Sevilla logo

Atletico
1 - 1
Sevilla

Gimenez (30')
Hermoso (45'), Kondogbia (79'), Koke (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
En-Nesyri (85')
Montiel (41'), Gudelj (72'), En-Nesyri (86'), Mir (88'), Lopetegui (88'), Acuna (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-1 Sevilla

Sevilla only need a point on Sunday to ensure that they claim a top-four spot, and we are expecting the visitors to pick up the result that they require. Lopetegui's side have only lost three times on their travels this season, sharing the points on nine occasions, and we are backing a low-scoring draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 22.44%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
51.47% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 26.08% (0.041 0.04) 22.44% (0.035 0.04)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.04% (-0.121 -0.12)56.96% (0.117 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.14% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)77.86% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.78% (-0.088000000000008 -0.09)22.22% (0.084 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.36% (-0.128 -0.13)55.63% (0.125 0.13)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)40.82% (0.028999999999996 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.61% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)77.39% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 51.47%
    Sevilla 22.44%
    Draw 26.08%
Atletico MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 13.64% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.26%
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 51.47%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.07% (0.041 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.13% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.64% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 22.44%

How you voted: Atletico vs Sevilla

Atletico Madrid
62.8%
Draw
26.9%
Sevilla
10.3%
78
Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-1
Atletico
Rakitic (7'), Ocampos (88')
Rekik (66'), Papu (68'), Montiel (69')
Felipe (33')
Cunha (90+6')
Apr 4, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
1-0
Atletico
Acuna (70')
Carlos (10'), Acuna (56')

Felipe (5'), Suarez (56'), Llorente (79'), Kondogbia (86')
Jan 12, 2021 8.30pm
Atletico
2-0
Sevilla
Correa (17'), Niguez (76')
Koke (48'), Savic (57')

Lopetegui (82')
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Atletico
2-2
Sevilla
Morata (32' pen.), Felix (36')
Felix (73'), Trippier (77')
De Jong (19'), Ocampos (43' pen.)
Carlos (31'), Kounde (31'), Navas (43'), Banega (45+1'), Gudelj (56')
Nov 2, 2019 5.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2Barcelona35237572432976
3GironaGirona35236675443175
4Atletico MadridAtletico35224964392570
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real BetisBetis35141384641555
7Real Sociedad351412948371154
8Valencia35139133739-248
9Villarreal35139135960-148
10Getafe351013124148-743
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Rayo Vallecano35714142743-1635
17Celta Vigo35810174053-1334
18CadizCadiz35514162449-2529
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria35211223570-3517


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