Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
40.28% | 26.65% | 33.06% |
Both teams to score 51.57% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.66% | 53.34% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.12% | 74.88% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% | 26.01% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.97% | 61.03% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% | 30.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.52% | 66.48% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 3.83% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.29% 4-0 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.3% Total : 40.28% | 1-1 @ 12.67% 0-0 @ 7.88% 2-2 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.41% 1-2 @ 7.57% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.03% Other @ 3.19% Total : 33.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 31 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 67 | 20 | 47 | 78 |
2 | Barcelona | 31 | 21 | 7 | 3 | 62 | 34 | 28 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 31 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 39 | 24 | 65 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 31 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 59 | 36 | 23 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 31 | 13 | 11 | 7 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 50 |
7 | Valencia | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 47 |
8 | Real BetisBetis | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 45 |
9 | Villarreal | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 49 | 54 | -5 | 39 |
10 | Getafe | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 39 |
11 | Osasuna | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 39 |
12 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 37 |
13 | Sevilla | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 34 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 32 |
15 | Mallorca | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 31 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 31 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 28 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 31 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |