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J1 League | Gameweek 20
Jul 8, 2023 at 10.30am UK
EDION Stadium

Hiroshima
1 - 1
Kashima Antlers

Ezequiel (55')
Ben Khalifa (8'), Morishima (67'), Ezequiel (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sekigawa (5')
Pituca (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's J1 League clash between Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Kashima Antlers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Albirex Niigata 2-0 Hiroshima
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Kashima Antlers 0-0 Kyoto Sanga
Saturday, July 1 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1-0 Kashima Antlers

Although Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last four matches, they boast an impressive head-to-head record against Saturday's opponents. They have won their last three meetings with Kashima, including a 2-1 victory in the reverse fixture, and we think that they will draw upon that experience to claim another narrow win this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 50.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Kashima Antlers win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
50.83% (0.45500000000001 0.46) 26.09% (-0.117 -0.12) 23.08% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 46.72% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.57% (0.142 0.14)56.43% (-0.141 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.56% (0.114 0.11)77.44% (-0.113 -0.11)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (0.259 0.26)22.28% (-0.259 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (0.388 0.39)55.73% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)
Kashima Antlers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.11% (-0.241 -0.24)39.89% (0.242 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.45% (-0.223 -0.22)76.55% (0.22200000000001 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 50.81%
    Kashima Antlers 23.09%
    Draw 26.09%
Sanfrecce HiroshimaDrawKashima Antlers
1-0 @ 13.34% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.02% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 4.61% (0.051 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.12% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.73% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 8.89% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.09%
0-1 @ 8.17% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-2 @ 5.64% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.73% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 23.09%

How you voted: Hiroshima vs Kashima Antlers

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
87.5%
Draw
0.0%
Kashima Antlers
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 7am
Aug 6, 2022 10am
Gameweek 24
Kashima Antlers
0-2
Hiroshima

Misao (90+5')
Kawamura (84'), Ezequiel (90+5')
Ben Khalifa (7'), Araki (40'), Fujii (45')
May 7, 2022 6am
Nov 3, 2021 6am
Gameweek 35
Hiroshima
1-4
Kashima Antlers
Ezequiel (34')
Fujii (45+2'), Nogami (45+5'), Sasaki (65')
Arthur (3', 50'), Tsunemoto (28'), Araki (71' pen.)
Sekigawa (45+5')
Mar 13, 2021 7am
Gameweek 4
Kashima Antlers
1-1
Hiroshima
Araki (69')
Silva (26'), Sugioka (90+4')
Asano (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382323101326
2Machida Zelvia138231810826
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers137242016423
4FC Tokyo136432420422
5Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka136341110121
6Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa136252119220
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo135531715220
8Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima124711911819
9Avispa Fukuoka134721312119
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus136161315-219
11Tokyo Verdy133822018217
12Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki134451915416
13Yokohama F MarinosYokohama114431614216
14Kashiwa ReysolReysol123631214-215
15Jubilo Iwata134271820-214
16Albirex Niigata133461420-613
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132561724-711
18Sagan Tosu133281623-711
19Kyoto Sanga132381121-109
20Consadole SapporoConsadole131571126-158


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