MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 11:38:03| >> :60:2967:2967:
Saudi Arabia national football team
Friendlies 1
Sep 12, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
St. James' Park
South Korea national football team

Saudi Arabia
0 - 1
South Korea


Alhamddan (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kyu-Sung (32')
Hee-chan (38'), In-beom (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Saudi Arabia and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Saudi Arabia 1-3 Costa Rica
Friday, September 8 at 8pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Wales 0-0 South Korea
Thursday, September 7 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Saudi Arabia 0-0 South Korea

Both Saudi Arabia and South Korea have not been at their best during this international break, and they have played out goalless draws in two of their last four head-to-head matches. As such, it would not be a surprise if Tuesday's game ends as a stalemate, particularly considering South Korea lacked a cutting edge against Wales last time out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 23.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.9%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Saudi Arabia win it was 1-0 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for South Korea in this match.

Result
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
23.31% (-0.108 -0.11) 25.92% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 50.77% (0.186 0.19)
Both teams to score 47.42% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.36% (0.197 0.2)55.64% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.21% (0.162 0.16)76.79% (-0.16 -0.16)
Saudi Arabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.77% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)39.23% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)75.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
South Korea Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.03% (0.164 0.16)21.97% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.74% (0.246 0.25)55.26% (-0.245 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Saudi Arabia 23.31%
    South Korea 50.77%
    Draw 25.92%
Saudi ArabiaDrawSouth Korea
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 5.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 1.18% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 23.31%
1-1 @ 12.22% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.62% (-0.065 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.33% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 13.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.26% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 5% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.68% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.19% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.77% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 50.77%

How you voted: South Korea vs Saudi Arabia

South Korea
56.3%
Draw
25.0%
Saudi Arabia
18.8%
32
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2018 4pm
International Friendlies
South Korea
0-0
Saudi Arabia
Al-Owais (82')
rhs 2.0
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