FA Cup | Second Round
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kassam Stadium
Oxford Utd4 - 1Exeter
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Forest Green
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One
Saturday, November 19 at 12pm in League One
We said: Oxford United 1-2 Exeter City
Oxford are six unbeaten in League One but have failed to earn enough maximums to be competing at the top end of the third tier and looked very unconvincing against Forest Green last time out. Exeter have shown they possess the firepower to comfortably survive this season and it could be a case of Brown's brilliance securing them passage to the third round of the FA Cup on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 48.37%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
48.37% ( 0.02) | 24.22% ( -0) | 27.4% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.41% ( 0.02) | 45.59% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.08% ( 0.01) | 67.91% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.06% ( 0.01) | 18.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.55% ( 0.02) | 50.45% ( -0.02) |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( 0) | 30.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( 0) | 66.5% |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United 48.37%
Exeter City 27.4%
Draw 24.22%
Oxford United | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.41% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.37% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 5.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.09% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.4% |
How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Exeter
Oxford United
47.1%Draw
29.4%Exeter City
23.5%17
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-10 08:03:38
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 36 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 88 | 28 | 60 | 83 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 82 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 35 | 18 | 6 | 11 | 69 | 58 | 11 | 60 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 78 | 56 | 22 | 56 |
7 | Chelsea | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 35 | 16 | 6 | 13 | 52 | 55 | -3 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 70 | -14 | 49 |
10 | Bournemouth | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 52 | 63 | -11 | 48 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 35 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 53 | 57 | -4 | 47 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 46 |
13 | Fulham | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 44 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 49 | 57 | -8 | 43 |
15 | Everton | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 37 |
16 | Brentford | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 36 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 45 | 63 | -18 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 49 | 78 | -29 | 26 |
19 | Burnley | 36 | 5 | 9 | 22 | 39 | 74 | -35 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 35 | 100 | -65 | 16 |
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