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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Oxford United

Bolton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Charles (73')
Williams (20'), Santos (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
O'Donkor (29'), Brannagan (31'), McGuane (35'), Rodriguez (85'), Seddon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Oxford United

Bolton, with their squad depth, should be able to get past an Oxford team low on confidence. The visitors will not be pushovers, though, and will make Wanderers work hard for their three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
53.77% (0.161 0.16) 24.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 21.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.066000000000003 0.07)19.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.109 0.11)51.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.119 -0.12)38.85% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.113 -0.11)75.58% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.76%
    Oxford United 21.66%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Bolton vs Oxford Utd

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Bolton
Hemmings (42'), Maguire (75')
McAleny (77')
Morais (4'), Beevers (21'), Dunkley (60' og.), Vela (94')
Beevers (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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