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FA Cup
Aston Villa logo
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
Stevenage

Aston Villa
1 - 2
Stevenage

Sanson (33')
Dendoncker (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reid (88' pen.), Campbell (90')

The Match

Match Report

Stevenage launch a stunning late fightback to defeat Premier League side Aston Villa by a 2-1 scoreline in the FA Cup third round.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Aston Villa and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Wolves
Wednesday, January 4 at 8pm in Premier League

Stevenage

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Gillingham
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
47.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 24.24% (0.142 0.14) 27.83% (-0.146 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.75% (-0.596 -0.6)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.61% (-0.733 -0.73)45.39% (0.738 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.28% (-0.705 -0.7)67.72% (0.711 0.71)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)19.04% (0.289 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.39% (-0.478 -0.48)50.62% (0.484 0.48)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.483 -0.48)29.9% (0.49 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.591 -0.59)66% (0.595 0.59)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 47.93%
    Stevenage 27.83%
    Draw 24.23%
Aston VillaDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.211 0.21)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 47.93%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.71% (-0.079 -0.08)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.178 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.87% (0.124 0.12)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.77% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.67% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 27.83%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Stevenage

Aston Villa
75.0%
Draw
14.3%
Stevenage
10.7%
56
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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