MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 17:47:21| >> :600:17488996:17488996:
England national football team
European Championship | Group Stage
Jun 13, 2021 at 2pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Croatia national football team

England
1 - 0
Croatia

Sterling (57')
Foden (64')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Caleta-Car (42'), Kovacic (48'), Brozovic (66')

The Match

Match Report

Raheem Sterling could see the stadium from his house growing up and scored under the arch that is etched onto his arm to secure a 1-0 win.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between England and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Croatia could line up for their Euro 2020 opener with England on Sunday.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Croatia had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Croatia win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for England in this match.

Result
EnglandDrawCroatia
61.38%21.98%16.64%
Both teams to score 48.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5%48.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37%70.63%
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.7%15.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.97%44.03%
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.61%42.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.23%78.77%
Score Analysis
    England 61.37%
    Croatia 16.64%
    Draw 21.98%
EnglandDrawCroatia
1-0 @ 12.17%
2-0 @ 11.42%
2-1 @ 9.81%
3-0 @ 7.15%
3-1 @ 6.14%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.63%
5-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1.24%
5-1 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 61.37%
1-1 @ 10.45%
0-0 @ 6.49%
2-2 @ 4.21%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.98%
0-1 @ 5.57%
1-2 @ 4.49%
0-2 @ 2.39%
1-3 @ 1.28%
2-3 @ 1.2%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 16.64%

How you voted: England vs Croatia

England
67.6%
Draw
17.5%
Croatia
14.9%
913
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2018 2pm
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
Jul 11, 2018 7pm
Semi-Finals
Croatia
2-1
England
Perisic (68'), Mandzukic (109')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
2Arsenal36265588286083
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!