Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 10, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszalka Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Legia1 - 2Austria Vienna
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Legia Warsaw and Austria Vienna.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Legia 3-0 Ruch Chorzow
Sunday, August 6 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 6 at 7pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-2 Austria Vienna
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Sunday, August 6 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Austria Vienna had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.63%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Austria Vienna win was 1-2 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Austria Vienna |
48.47% | 22.19% | 29.34% |
Both teams to score 65.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.29% | 34.71% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.33% | 56.67% |
Legia Warsaw Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% | 14.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.95% | 43.05% |
Austria Vienna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.55% | 23.45% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.54% | 57.46% |
Score Analysis |
Legia Warsaw 48.47%
Austria Vienna 29.34%
Draw 22.19%
Legia Warsaw | Draw | Austria Vienna |
2-1 @ 9.19% 1-0 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 6.33% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-2 @ 4.25% 3-0 @ 4.04% 4-1 @ 2.8% 4-2 @ 2.03% 4-0 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.07% 4-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.38% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 9.61% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.97% 0-1 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 3.65% 1-3 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.22% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.34% |
How you voted: Legia vs Austria Vienna
Legia Warsaw
81.5%Draw
7.4%Austria Vienna
11.1%27
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 02:44:21
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1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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