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Europa League
Europa League | Group Stage
Dec 9, 2021 at 5.45pm UK
Pepsi Arena, Warsaw

Legia
0 - 1
Spartak Moscow


Martins (24'), Pesqueira (26'), Slisz (44'), Kastrati (61'), Wieteska (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bakaev (17')
Promes (34'), Dzhikiya (61'), Melkadze (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Legia Warsaw and Spartak Moscow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Legia Warsaw 1-2 Spartak Moscow

 With Legia currently in disarray, this is as good a time as any for Spartak to visit Stadion Wojska Polskiego, and even some men missing in attack should not deter them from leaving with maximum points. The result in Naples may still determine their destiny, but the Russian side can guarantee some continental football in the spring, while their Polish counterparts bow out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Spartak Moscow had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.43%) and 1-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.

Result
Legia WarsawDrawSpartak Moscow
44.01%21.65%34.35%
Both teams to score 70.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.48%29.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.39%50.61%
Legia Warsaw Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.66%14.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.8%42.2%
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.76%18.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.72%49.29%
Score Analysis
    Legia Warsaw 44.01%
    Spartak Moscow 34.35%
    Draw 21.65%
Legia WarsawDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 8.39%
3-1 @ 5.43%
1-0 @ 5.08%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-2 @ 4.62%
3-0 @ 3.19%
4-1 @ 2.64%
4-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-3 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.62%
Total : 44.01%
1-1 @ 8.65%
2-2 @ 7.14%
3-3 @ 2.62%
0-0 @ 2.62%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-1 @ 4.45%
1-3 @ 4.17%
2-3 @ 4.05%
0-2 @ 3.79%
0-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 1.77%
2-4 @ 1.72%
3-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 34.35%

How you voted: Legia vs Spartak Moscow

Legia Warsaw
35.0%
Draw
19.3%
Spartak Moscow
45.7%
140
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2021 3.30pm
Group Stage
Spartak Moscow
0-1
Legia

Gigot (48'), Umyarov (53'), Lomovitski (90'), Bakaev (90+6')
Kastrati (90+1')
Wieteska (50'), Johansson (55'), Jedrzejczyk (70'), Pesqueira (90')
> Preview
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