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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Cambuur | 1 | -2 | 0 |
16 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1 | -2 | 0 |
17 | Emmen | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Feyenoord | 1 | 3 | 3 |
3 | PSV Eindhoven | 1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 17.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 0-1 (8.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Go Ahead Eagles win it was 2-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
17.31% ( 0.4) | 19.54% ( 0.32) | 63.14% ( -0.73) |
Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.7% ( -0.78) | 36.3% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.57% ( -0.86) | 58.43% ( 0.86) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.78% ( -0.03) | 34.22% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.08% ( -0.02) | 70.91% ( 0.02) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.03% ( -0.41) | 10.97% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.78% ( -0.92) | 35.22% ( 0.92) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 17.32% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.54% | 1-2 @ 9.83% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 6.75% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 4% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 3.73% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 1.77% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( -0.08) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.73% Total : 63.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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