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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
47.08% ( 1.07) | 24.06% ( -0.06) | 28.86% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 58.13% ( -0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( -0.33) | 43.92% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.69% ( -0.32) | 66.3% ( 0.32) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.19% ( 0.31) | 18.8% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.77% ( 0.51) | 50.23% ( -0.52) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.59% ( -0.86) | 28.41% ( 0.86) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.83% ( -1.09) | 64.16% ( 1.09) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.09) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 47.08% | 1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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