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Charlton Athletic
EFL Cup | Round of 16
Dec 21, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
Brighton logo

Charlton
0 - 0
Brighton


Leaburn (34')
FT
Charlton win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-2 Brighton
Thursday, December 8 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-3 Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton may be a little rusty, having only just reassembled their full squad, but an abundance of top-tier quality is available to ambitious boss De Zerbi. Eager to continue making his mark at the South Coast club, the highly-regarded Italian will surely take Wednesday's tie seriously, which bodes ill for a Charlton side in some disarray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.11%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
31.81% (1.065 1.07) 23.99% (0.473 0.47) 44.2% (-1.536 -1.54)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-1.146 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.93% (-1.743 -1.74)42.07% (1.744 1.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.53% (-1.771 -1.77)64.47% (1.772 1.77)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.44% (-0.19 -0.19)25.56% (0.192 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.57% (-0.264 -0.26)60.43% (0.265 0.27)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (-1.33 -1.33)19.26% (1.331 1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (-2.239 -2.24)50.98% (2.24 2.24)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 31.81%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 44.2%
    Draw 23.99%
Charlton AthleticDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 7.54% (0.19 0.19)
1-0 @ 6.72% (0.477 0.48)
2-0 @ 4.58% (0.301 0.3)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.068 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.08% (0.126 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.17% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 31.81%
1-1 @ 11.06% (0.34 0.34)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.92% (0.375 0.38)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.104 -0.1)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.99%
1-2 @ 9.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.292 0.29)
0-2 @ 6.68% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5% (-0.277 -0.28)
0-3 @ 3.67% (-0.182 -0.18)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-4 @ 2.06% (-0.208 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.51% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.41% (-0.151 -0.15)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 44.2%

How you voted: Charlton vs Brighton

Charlton Athletic
17.1%
Draw
3.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
78.9%
76
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2018 7.45pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Charlton
1-1
Brighton
Sarr (82')
Gross (47')
Apr 23, 2016 3pm
Dec 5, 2015 3pm
Brighton
3-2
Charlton
Wilson (50'), Zamora (83'), Hemed (84')
Calderon (45'), Stephens (75'), March (90')
Lookman (2'), Ghoochannejhad (6')
Cousins (44'), Henderson (45'), Fox (90'), Solly (91')
Bauer (58')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


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