Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.
