Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 22.64% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.38%) and 0-1 (6.89%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
