Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 0-1 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.
