MX23RW : Friday, May 10 15:16:39| >> :600:3351790:3351790:
Dortmund logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Nov 1, 2023 at 5pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Hoffenheim logo

Dortmund
1 - 0
Hoffenheim

Reus (43')
Schlotterbeck (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kabak (66'), Weghorst (75')
Kabak (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Borussia Dortmund and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Frankfurt 3-3 Dortmund
Sunday, October 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, October 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Hoffenheim

Both sides are likely to make plenty of changes given that they are performing strongly in the Bundesliga, with both managers also dealing with a significant amount of injuries at the moment. Dortmund clearly have greater squad depth to call upon, and we expect this to help them continue their excellent record against Hoffenheim in recent years, with the visitors woes in the DFB-Pokal set to continue. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.84%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 20.46% and a draw had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
60.84% (-2.622 -2.62) 18.69% (0.743 0.74) 20.46% (1.878 1.88)
Both teams to score 68.12% (0.53100000000001 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.23% (-0.70400000000001 -0.7)26.76% (0.703 0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.81% (-0.9 -0.9)47.18% (0.898 0.9)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.23% (-0.755 -0.75)8.76% (0.755 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.9% (-1.872 -1.87)30.09% (1.872 1.87)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (1.19 1.19)25.33% (-1.191 -1.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.88% (1.607 1.61)60.11% (-1.607 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 60.84%
    Hoffenheim 20.46%
    Draw 18.69%
Borussia DortmundDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.33% (-0.229 -0.23)
2-0 @ 6.58% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-0 @ 5.4% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 5.34% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-2 @ 5.03% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.46% (-0.31 -0.31)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.346 -0.35)
4-2 @ 3.06% (-0.103 -0.1)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.237 -0.24)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.233 -0.23)
5-2 @ 1.49% (-0.108 -0.11)
4-3 @ 1.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 60.84%
1-1 @ 7.42% (0.304 0.3)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.24 0.24)
3-3 @ 2.3% (0.085 0.09)
0-0 @ 2.22% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 18.69%
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.373 0.37)
0-1 @ 3.05% (0.229 0.23)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.201 0.2)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.242 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.09% (0.222 0.22)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.099 0.1)
0-3 @ 0.96% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 20.46%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Hoffenheim

Borussia Dortmund
86.7%
Draw
9.3%
Hoffenheim
4.0%
75
Head to Head
Sep 29, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 6
Hoffenheim
1-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (25' pen.)
Brooks (44'), Vogt (61'), Kabak (85')
Fullkrug (18'), Reus (45+3'), Ryerson (90+5')
Hummels (23'), Nmecha (60'), Bensebaini (67'), Reus (86')
Bensebaini (71')
Feb 25, 2023 2.30pm
Sep 2, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 5
Dortmund
1-0
Hoffenheim
Reus (16')
Reus (57'), Bellingham (57'), Hummels (76')

Skov (35'), Vogt (57'), Kabak (64'), Kramaric (80')
Jan 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
2-3
Dortmund
Kramaric (45+1'), Rutter (77')
Rudy (66'), Dabour (90+3')
Braut Haaland (6'), Reus (58'), Raum (66' og.)
Hummels (49'), Bellingham (90+5')
Aug 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Dortmund
3-2
Hoffenheim
Reyna (49'), Bellingham (69'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
Dahoud (36'), Meunier (54')
Baumgartner (61'), Dabour (90')
Baumgartner (1'), Posch (7'), Geiger (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!