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Santos
Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 1st Leg
Jul 15, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Urbano Caldeira
Independiente

Santos
1 - 0
Independiente

Jorge (69')
Fernandes (66'), Sanchez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (39'), Manuel Insaurralde (80'), Gonzalez (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Sudamericana clash between Santos and Independiente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 50.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Independiente had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Independiente win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.

Result
SantosDrawIndependiente
50.35%25.88%23.77%
Both teams to score 48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.88%55.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.63%76.37%
Santos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.06%21.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.78%55.22%
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.49%38.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.74%75.26%
Score Analysis
    Santos 50.34%
    Independiente 23.77%
    Draw 25.87%
SantosDrawIndependiente
1-0 @ 12.81%
2-0 @ 9.72%
2-1 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-2 @ 2.24%
4-0 @ 1.86%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 50.34%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 8.45%
2-2 @ 4.43%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 25.87%
0-1 @ 8.06%
1-2 @ 5.84%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 1.86%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 23.77%

How you voted: Santos vs Independiente

Santos
48.6%
Draw
31.4%
Independiente
20.0%
70
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2018 11.30pm
Round of 16
Santos
0-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (40'), Henrique (58'), Alison (59')
Bustos (19'), Britez (55')
Aug 22, 2018 1.45am
Round of 16
Independiente
0-0
Santos
Silva (25'), Bustos (27'), Cerutti (48'), Campana (72'), Silva (90')
Sanchez (19'), Verissimo (30'), Dodo (71'), Barbosa (91')
Dodo (82')
rhs 2.0
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