Club World Cup | First Round
Feb 1, 2023 at 7pm UK
Al Ahly3 - 0Auckland City
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Al Ahly 2-1 Auckland City
Both Al Ahly and Auckland will be motivated to come out on top on Wednesday, with the prospect of facing Spanish giants Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the competition next week. A closely-fought contest is to be expected in Morocco, but we feel that Al Ahly may just have the edge to sneak through to the second round. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ahly win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Auckland City had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al Ahly win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.9%), while for an Auckland City win it was 1-2 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ahly would win this match.
Result | ||
Al Ahly | Draw | Auckland City |
60.71% ( 0.08) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 18.2% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.02% ( -0.05) | 41.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.62% ( -0.05) | 64.38% ( 0.05) |
Al Ahly Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.61% ( 0.01) | 13.38% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.7% ( 0.02) | 40.29% ( -0.02) |
Auckland City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.35% ( -0.11) | 36.64% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.56% ( -0.11) | 73.43% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Al Ahly 60.71%
Auckland City 18.2%
Draw 21.08%
Al Ahly | Draw | Auckland City |
2-1 @ 9.96% 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.35% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 3.22% Total : 60.71% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 18.2% |
How you voted: Al Ahly vs Auckland City
Al Ahly
77.5%Draw
7.0%Auckland City
15.5%71
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-04-29 22:23:24
Result
Bublik
Shelton
Shelton
3 77 6
6 62 4
6 62 4
Result
Lehecka
Monteiro
Monteiro
6 79
4 67
4 67
Result
Medvedev
Korda
Korda
5 77 6
7 64 3
7 64 3
Result
Nadal
Cachin
Cachin
6 65 6
1 77 3
1 77 3
Result
Mensik
Auger-Aliassime
Auger-Aliassime
1 0
6 1
6 1
(ret.)
Result
Norrie
Ruud
Ruud
2 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Sinner
Kotov
Kotov
6 7
2 5
2 5
Result
Cobolli
Khachanov
Khachanov
5 4
7 6
7 6
Result
Ostapenko
Jabeur
Jabeur
0 4
6 6
6 6
Result
Haddad Maia
Sakkari
Sakkari
6 6
4 4
4 4
Result
Swiatek
Sorribes Tormo
Sorribes Tormo
6 6
1 0
1 0
Result
Andreeva
Paolini
Paolini
77 6
62 4
62 4
Result
Gauff
Keys
Keys
64 6 4
77 4 6
77 4 6
Result
Putintseva
Kasatkina
Kasatkina
3 6 6
6 2 2
6 2 2
Result
Bejlek
Rybakina
Rybakina
1 3
6 6
6 6
9.10pm
Collins
Sabalenka
Sabalenka
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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