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Champions League header

Champions League
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2022 at 8pm UK
Doosan Aréna
Bayern logo

Plzen
2 - 4
Bayern

Vlkanova (62'), Kliment (75')
Mosquera (78')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Mane (10'), Muller (14'), Goretzka (25', 35')
Mazraoui (64'), Sabitzer (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Viktoria Plzen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Viktoria Plzen

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Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Plzen
Tuesday, October 4 at 5.45pm in Champions League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Dortmund 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Viktoria Plzen 0-3 Bayern Munich

 Bayern's defensive injuries could provide the hosts with a glimmer of hope of causing an upset, but we expect Bayern to take a giant leap towards booking their place in the knockout stages by gaining a victory. The Bavarians still possess plenty of attacking firepower despite being short of numbers at present, and Plzen struggled to live with this last week. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 59.65%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 17.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Viktoria PlzenDrawBayern Munich
17.8% (-0.103 -0.1) 22.55% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05) 59.65% (0.146 0.15)
Both teams to score 49.33% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.03% (0.039000000000001 0.04)48.97% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.035 0.04)71.05% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Viktoria Plzen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.75% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)41.24% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.23% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)77.77% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.96% (0.061000000000007 0.06)16.04% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.61% (0.118 0.12)45.39% (-0.119 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Viktoria Plzen 17.8%
    Bayern Munich 59.64%
    Draw 22.55%
Viktoria PlzenDrawBayern Munich
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 2.59% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.4% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 17.8%
1-1 @ 10.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 12.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 6.76% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.014 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.09% (0.022 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-5 @ 1% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 59.64%

How you voted: Plzen vs Bayern

Viktoria Plzen
8.3%
Draw
8.3%
Bayern Munich
83.4%
169
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 5.45pm
Group C
Bayern
5-0
Plzen
Sane (7', 51'), Gnabry (13'), Mane (21'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (59')

Chory (29')
Nov 5, 2013 7.45pm
Group D
Plzen
0-1
Bayern
> Match Report
Oct 23, 2013 7.45pm
Group D
Bayern
5-0
Plzen
> Match Report
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