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Champions League header

Champions League
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Vicente Calderon Stadium
Club Brugge

Atletico
0 - 0
Brugge


Savic (45+2'), Kondogbia (80')
FT

Buchanan (44'), Sowah (45+2'), Vanaken (46'), Mignolet (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Club Brugge, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Girona
Saturday, October 8 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Club Brugge

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Brugge 0-2 Westerlo
Saturday, October 8 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Club Brugge

 Club Brugge have been exceptional in the competition this season, and it would be some result if they managed to triumph on Wednesday night. Atletico have had their problems this season, but it is difficult to back against them at home, and we are predicting a narrow success for Simeone's side here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Club Brugge had a probability of 28.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Club Brugge win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawClub Brugge
46.83% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 24.24% (-0.041 -0.04) 28.92% (0.116 0.12)
Both teams to score 57.55% (0.219 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.3% (0.253 0.25)44.7% (-0.253 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.93% (0.244 0.24)67.06% (-0.244 -0.24)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (0.069000000000003 0.07)19.22% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.09% (0.114 0.11)50.91% (-0.113 -0.11)
Club Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.211 0.21)28.76% (-0.211 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (0.261 0.26)64.61% (-0.262 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 46.83%
    Club Brugge 28.92%
    Draw 24.24%
Atletico MadridDrawClub Brugge
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
2-0 @ 7.52% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-1 @ 5.15% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.21% (0.023 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.71% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 46.83%
1-1 @ 11.36% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.031 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.53% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 7.08% (0.021 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.29% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.92%

How you voted: Atletico vs Brugge

Atletico Madrid
55.8%
Draw
15.2%
Club Brugge
29.0%
434
Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Group B
Brugge
2-0
Atletico
Sowah (36'), Jutlga Blanc (62')

Simeone (29')
Dec 11, 2018 8pm
Group A
Brugge
0-0
Atletico

Denswil (56'), Amrabat (76')

Montero (20'), Niguez (48'), Godin (57')
Oct 3, 2018 8pm
Group A
Atletico
3-1
Brugge
Griezmann (28', 67'), Koke (90')
Gimenez (36'), Hernandez (85')
Groeneveld (39')
Rits (27'), Openda (81')
rhs 2.0
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