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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 57.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
57.3% ( 0.23) | 22.61% ( -0.09) | 20.09% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.03% ( 0.19) | 45.97% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.72% ( 0.18) | 68.28% ( -0.18) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.21% ( 0.14) | 15.79% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.06% ( 0.26) | 44.94% ( -0.26) |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.05% ( -0.03) | 36.95% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( -0.03) | 73.74% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | Stuttgart |
1-0 @ 10.77% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.81% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.35% Total : 57.3% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.93% 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.61% | 0-1 @ 5.81% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 74 | 36 | 38 | 63 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 64 | 40 | 24 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 47 | 1 | 45 |
7 | Freiburg | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 41 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
10 | Heidenheim | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 38 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 38 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 33 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 30 |
16 | Mainz 05Mainz | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 33 | 50 | -17 | 29 |
17 | FC Koln | 32 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 24 | 54 | -30 | 24 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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