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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Stuttgart | 3 | -1 | 2 |
13 | Schalke 04 | 3 | -2 | 2 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 3 | -2 | 2 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 3 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Union Berlin | 3 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Mainz 05 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Schalke 04 | Draw | Union Berlin |
35.35% ( 0.03) | 24.92% ( -0.01) | 39.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 57.87% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.56% ( 0.03) | 45.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.22% ( 0.03) | 67.78% ( -0.03) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0.03) | 25.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.23% ( 0.05) | 59.77% ( -0.05) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( 0) | 22.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( 0) | 56.43% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Schalke 04 | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.58% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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