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Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Aug 7, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Schalke

FC Koln
3 - 1
Schalke

Kilian (49'), Kainz (62'), Ljubicic (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bulter (76')
Brunner (51')
Drexler (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: FC Koln 2-1 Schalke 04

Putting five goals past a fifth-tier side is hardly a good indication as to how well Schalke will fare back in the Bundesliga, but Koln's confidence will have been rocked by their own DFB-Pokal exit. The injuries to Baumgart's attacking options are not letting up either, but we still have faith in a Modeste-led Billy Goats side to shade a close contest in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.19%) and 2-0 (5.81%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Koln would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
40.67% (3.302 3.3) 23.76% (0.07 0.07) 35.57% (-3.372 -3.37)
Both teams to score 62.16% (-0.477 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.12% (-0.534 -0.53)39.88% (0.535 0.53)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.76% (-0.558 -0.56)62.24% (0.558 0.56)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.1% (1.332 1.33)19.9% (-1.332 -1.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.97% (2.106 2.11)52.03% (-2.107 -2.11)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-1.919 -1.92)22.39% (1.919 1.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (-2.957 -2.96)55.89% (2.956 2.96)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 40.67%
    Schalke 04 35.57%
    Draw 23.76%
FC KolnDrawSchalke 04
2-1 @ 8.69% (0.413 0.41)
1-0 @ 7.19% (0.458 0.46)
2-0 @ 5.81% (0.588 0.59)
3-1 @ 4.68% (0.4 0.4)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.13% (0.43 0.43)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.231 0.23)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 40.67%
1-1 @ 10.76% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.11 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.06% (-0.417 -0.42)
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.226 -0.23)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.478 -0.48)
1-3 @ 4.02% (-0.461 -0.46)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.402 -0.4)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.273 -0.27)
2-4 @ 1.21% (-0.163 -0.16)
0-4 @ 0.93% (-0.216 -0.22)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 35.57%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Schalke

FC Koln
61.3%
Draw
13.3%
Schalke 04
25.3%
75
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Jan 20, 2021 5.30pm
Schalke
1-2
FC Koln
Hoppe (57')
Stambouli (49'), Boujellab (89')
Czichos (31'), Thielmann (90+3')
Horn (89')
Feb 29, 2020 5.30pm
FC Koln
3-0
Schalke
Bornauw (9'), Cordoba (39'), Nubel (75' og.)
Cordoba (38')

Schopf (66'), Burgstaller (80')
Oct 5, 2019 5.30pm
Schalke
1-1
FC Koln
Serdar (72')
Kenny (20'), Serdar (35'), Sane (45'), Oczipka (64')
Hector (91')
Katterbach (22'), Ehizibue (40'), Terodde (67'), Modeste (93')
Oct 31, 2018 5.30pm
FC Koln
1-1
Schalke
Schalke win 6-5 on penalties
Cordoba (43')
Ozcan (61'), Schaub (83')
Bentaleb (88' pen.)
Schopf (51'), Uth (63'), Bentaleb (83'), Burgstaller (100'), Nastasic (110')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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