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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
57.13% | 22.31% | 20.56% |
Both teams to score 54.85% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56% | 44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.62% | 66.38% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.83% | 15.17% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.22% | 43.78% |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.66% | 35.34% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.9% | 72.1% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
1-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.23% 3-0 @ 5.99% 3-2 @ 3.24% 4-1 @ 2.94% 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.53% 5-1 @ 1.11% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.63% Total : 57.13% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 0-0 @ 5.36% 2-2 @ 5.16% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 5.58% 1-2 @ 5.47% 0-2 @ 2.9% 1-3 @ 1.9% 2-3 @ 1.79% 0-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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