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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.76%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
19.46% ( -0.16) | 20.47% ( 0.02) | 60.07% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 59.4% ( -0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.86% ( -0.37) | 37.13% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.67% ( -0.4) | 59.33% ( 0.41) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.54% ( -0.38) | 32.46% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.01% ( -0.43) | 68.99% ( 0.43) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.95% ( -0.07) | 12.05% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.45% ( -0.16) | 37.55% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 19.46% | 1-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.47% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.76% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 6.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.18% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 3.27% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 4.18% Total : 60.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 32 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 82 | 23 | 59 | 84 |
2 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 32 | 22 | 3 | 7 | 90 | 41 | 49 | 69 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
8 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 40 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 32 | 7 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 32 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 76 | -46 | 17 |
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