Brasileiro | Gameweek 28
Sep 28, 2022 at 11pm UK
Estádio Couto Pereira
Coritiba1 - 0Ceara
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, September 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Ceara 0-2 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 18 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Coritiba 1-0 Ceara
Both teams are only narrowly above the relegation line, but the margin is much thinner for Guto Ferreira's men, who have been challenging to break down and compact at home, and we expect their desperation will propel them to three points on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coritiba win with a probability of 41.75%. A draw had a probability of 29.3% and a win for Ceara had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coritiba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (7.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a Ceara win it was 0-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Coritiba in this match.
| Result | ||
| Coritiba | Draw | Ceara |
41.75% ( 0.11) | 29.33% ( -0.01) | 28.91% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 42.53% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
