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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 22, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Sarmiento

Lanus
2 - 1
Sarmiento

Diaz (28' pen., 45+1')
Diaz (17'), Canale (39'), Acosta (90+1')
Canale (64')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Lopez (68')
Lopez (38'), Martinez Rojas (41'), Donatti (65'), Garcia (71'), Diaz (73'), Cougo (82'), Mendez (90')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Sarmiento.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lanus

All competitions
Last Game: Godoy Cruz 4-4 Lanus
Tuesday, April 18 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

Sarmiento

All competitions
Last Game: Sarmiento 1-0 Arsenal
Monday, April 17 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 50.21%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 22.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.

Result
LanusDrawSarmiento
50.21% (0.0030000000000001 0) 27.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 41.56% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.43% (0.00099999999999767 0)62.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.85% (0.0010000000000012 0)82.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.77% (0.0010000000000048 0)25.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.03% (0.0020000000000024 0)59.96% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Sarmiento Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.58% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)44.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.53% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)80.46% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 50.21%
    Sarmiento 22.09%
    Draw 27.69%
LanusDrawSarmiento
1-0 @ 15.43%
2-0 @ 10.62%
2-1 @ 8.63%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.68% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 11.2%
2-2 @ 3.5%
Other @ 0.47%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-2 @ 5.08%
0-2 @ 3.69%
1-3 @ 1.38%
0-3 @ 1%
2-3 @ 0.95%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.09%

Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 1.30am
gameweek 12
Sarmiento
2-1
Lanus
Lopez (6', 45+3')
Torres (42')
Aguirre (69')
Aguirre (48')
Aude (3')
Sep 4, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Lanus
1-1
Sarmiento
Sand (59')
Belmonte (61'), Burdisso (79')
Alanis (90+5' pen.)
Arismendi (45+1'), Bravo (75')
Apr 17, 2021 5.30pm
First Phase
Sarmiento
1-0
Lanus
Torres (66' pen.)
Martin Pombo (40'), Graciani (73'), Francisco Vazquez (81')

Perez (52'), Luis Gomez (90+4'), Bernabei (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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